Thursday, August 28, 2014

Fwd: Buy the Market's Best Metals Trades



---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Rude Awakening <rude@agorafinancial.com>
Date: Thu, Aug 28, 2014 at 7:09 AM
Subject: Buy the Market's Best Metals Trades
To: iammejtm@gmail.com


Base metals rally
Rude Awakening
August 28, 2014 Archives | Unsubscribe
 
 
Buy the Market's Best Metals Trades
 
  • Base metals rally
  • Discover the perfect addition to your portfolio
  • Plus: What's up with silver?

 
Greg Guenthner coming to you from Baltimore, MD...

Greg Guenthner
Greg Guenthner
While every other investor on the planet is distracted by the S&P 500's new highs, you have the opportunity to book serious gains in one forgotten corner of the market.

Metals are setting up to deliver traders and investors impressive returns. And I'm not talking about gold and silver. Instead, you need to check out the base metals. Sure, copper and aluminum are not as glamorous as gold and silver. But I doubt you'll complain much when you see these powerful setups...

First, let's take a look at these base metals through the PowerShares DB Multi-Sector Commodity Trust Metals Fund (NYSE:DBB). DBB has enjoyed a massive rally since early June. Capitulation selling back in March did the trick. Now, I really like how this name has consolidated in the $17-$18 range. It looks like it's ready to break higher any day now...


DBB is the perfect way to play rising copper and aluminum prices. But if you're looking for a pure copper play, keep reading...

Earlier this summer, I highlighted a huge buy signal in Dr. Copper. Sure, copper had its share of trouble in the past. After all, the metal has slowly trended lower since it peaked near $4.50 in 2011. But the action we saw earlier this summer was telling. Copper finally cleared critical resistance, breaking the downtrend that had trapped the industrial metal for nearly three years.


Since its march lows, you can see how copper has started to push higher in a nice, orderly fashion. That big dump in March turned out to be a huge fake-out move lower, setting up the multi-month rally we're now witnessing.

I like copper here as it once again bounces off support. This could be the perfect addition to your portfolio as copper prices continue to quietly gain ground...
 
 
 
 
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Rude Numbers
Targets, Predictions and Wild Guesses

 
4.2% is the annualized rate of economic growth during the second quarter, according to revised numbers released this morning. Corporate profits also climbed by the most in almost four years, according to Bloomberg.
20,000 people may be infected by Ebola during this outbreak, according to new estimates released by the World Health Organization...
$19.72 is the price of silver this morning. The poor man's precious metal is up more than 1.6%...
15,390 marks the spot for the Nikkei today. The Japanese index lost 95 points in Thursday trading...
1,989 is where you'll find S&P futures this morning. Stocks are set to open lower as Ukraine announces the Russian invasion...
 
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Rude Trends
When to Buy... When to Sell

 
Today, a cautious reader submits an interesting trading question:

Looking at a two-year chart of SLV, more specifically, from the low of about 14 months ago to present, a line connecting the lows appears roughly level while a line connecting the highs appears to be steadily declining...

I would greatly appreciate your comments as to whether you consider this a bearish/dangerous progression?


Well, let's take a look...


Well, this silver chart certainly doesn't look bullish... at least not yet. Those lower-highs you mentioned are very pronounced (red arrows). And you can see there appears to be solid support somewhere near $18.

After running a few quick scans, I do see the potential for a snapback rally within the next few weeks. That would be a trading opportunity, of course--not a signal to buy a huge silver investment.

Overall, I wouldn't waste too much time trying to squeeze money out of SLV on either the long or short side. Things could get interesting if we see the July highs broken--or a breakdown below $18. That's when it's time to really begin paying attention...

[Ed. Note: Send your feedback here: rude@agorafinancial.com - and follow me on Twitter: @GregGuenthner]
 
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